Coral reefs doomed??

[John Ware]

Dear List,

For a quantitative view of the effect of acclimation (or adaptation or
whatever), you might wish to consider the paper that I presented at the
8th ICRS, Vol 1:527-532; "The effect of global warming on coral reefs:
acclimate or die".  This was, I believe, the first attempt to quantify
the effect of acclimation rate on the expected response of coral reefs. 
In fact, this might have been the first *quantitative* prediction of the
effects of global warming on reefs.

One major conclusion is that even with acclimation rates that would be
considered long by human standards, say 25 - 50 yrs, the chances of
survival of coral reefs are dramatically increased.  Acclimation with
such large time constants may not be detectable using currently
available data or experimental methods.

John

(Note: Despite the rather melodramatic title, this paper has repeatedly
been overlooked by even rather meticulous researchers such as Ove.  Just
my Cinderella complex showing. jrw)

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     *                       John R. Ware, PhD                   *
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