[Coral-List] ICRS Symposium 10a: Modelling the Future of Coral Reefs

[Mark Eakin]

While models are among the many tools that can be used to understand processes on reefs, they are one of the few tools that can tell us about how reefs are likely to look and function in the future. Models can vary in time (seasons to centuries), space (meters to 100s of kms), and process (climate, circulation, impacts, populations). Using a variety of models or combinations of models, presentations will focus on the application of models to predicting the future of coral reefs and how these can be used to help coral reef management. Examples include models that provide outlooks of coral bleaching or disease in the coming season to aid short-term planning and event response, scenarios of climate change impacts to inform processes such as the IPCC, or spatial patterns of resilience to climate change that guide protected area planning.

We invite all of you using models to predict the future of coral reefs on a variety of time-scales to submit abstracts to what we expect will be an exciting session.


Co-Chairs:
Dr C. Mark Eakin, NOAA Coral Reef Watch

Dr Simon Donner, University of British Columbia

Prof Peter Mumby, University of Queensland

Dr Cheryl Logan, Princeton University

Dr Claire Spillman, Bureau of Meteorology

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C. Mark Eakin, Ph.D.
Coordinator, NOAA Coral Reef Watch
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Center for Satellite Applications and Research
Satellite Oceanography & Climate Division
e-mail: mark.eakin at noaa.gov
url: coralreefwatch.noaa.gov

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"Now is the time to confront [the climate change] challenge once and for all. Delay is no longer an option. 
Denial is no longer an acceptable response. The stakes are too high. The consequences, too serious." 
Barack Obama, Nov. 18 2008