[Coral-List] A Swim Through Time on Carysfort Reef; EFFORT TO ASSEMBLE A LIST OF REMAINING HEALTHY CARIBBEAN CORAL REEFS

Risk, Michael riskmj at mcmaster.ca
Wed Aug 5 14:34:00 UTC 2020


   Doug:

   tl/dr. The problem remains, coral reef biologists have consistently
   failed to speak with one voice. Reasons involve personal agendas and
   income streams: proponents usually use science selectively.

   You thank the media for coverage of damage. 90% of coverage (my
   estimate) of reef damage has involved climate change. I have a MS to
   review at the moment, in which this phrase catches my eye:

   "the ecology of the GBR region is suffering from the chronic effects of
   eutrophication brought about by the discharge of nutrients from the
   developed catchments."

   Mike
     __________________________________________________________________

   From: Coral-List <coral-list-bounces at coral.aoml.noaa.gov> on behalf of
   Douglas Fenner via Coral-List <coral-list at coral.aoml.noaa.gov>
   Sent: Tuesday, August 4, 2020 4:07 PM
   To: coral-list at coral.aoml.noaa.gov <coral-list at coral.aoml.noaa.gov>
   Subject: Re: [Coral-List] A Swim Through Time on Carysfort Reef; EFFORT
   TO ASSEMBLE A LIST OF REMAINING HEALTHY CARIBBEAN CORAL REEFS

   Apologies, that post got sent before it was ready.
      So during rapid economic growth, such as the industrial revolution
   in
   the UK, Europe, and the US, pollution rapidly grew out of control, and
   people didn't realize the source of the problem.  In London, "London
   fog"
   was really smog from burning coal in fireplaces to heat homes.  At one
   point it killed about 2000 people.  If you travel above ground sections
   of
   the subway there today, you see nearly endless rows of houses all with
   many
   smoke stacks.  But zero smoke.  You look around and the air looks
   clear.
   People aren't choking on it.  There was a time, maybe in the 60's, when
   Tokyo's air was so bad there were coin operated machines on the
   sidewalk
   that dispensed oxygen for those who needed it.  No more, like London,
   this
   gigantic urban area with something like 24 million people, has air that
   looks clear and people aren't choking and dying in the streets.
   Pittsburgh, in the US used to have blackened buildings from the soot
   from
   coal-fired steel mills.  No more, the mills are gone, people have other
   jobs, the buildings were cleaned, the city gleams and competes for the
   best
   quality of life in the USA.  Tell me those aren't success stories!!!!
   AI
   CAN and WILL be repeated, China and India know they have a terrible air
   pollution problem, and they are on it.  They know about the huge health
   costs of caring for people sickened by it, lost work hours, lost lives.
   China is now the world's largest solar panel manufacturer.  India has a
   plan for renewables that is so ambitious people doubt they can do it
   that
   fast.  (No, the air is far from perfect, and the battle is not over.
   It
   will never be over, but  real progress has been made and will be made.)
       There are huge constituencies for the environment, and politicians
   ignore that to their own peril.  BUT, there are lots of things people
   consider benefits of doing things that end up damaging the environment,
   including coral reefs, and can come back to bite us.  Coral reefs are
   major  tourist attractions.  They feed hundreds of millions of poor
   people
   along coasts, and they provide hundreds of millions of dollars worth of
   coastal protection.
        There is a story that someone came to US president FDR once and
   pleaded for action on something.  FDR grinned and said "make me do
   it!"  He
   wasn't mocking the person, he was saying he has to have support.  Get
   your
   constituents and supporters to make a LOT of noise and DEMAND it, and I
   will do it gladly.
         Right now is the opposite of the ideal time given the pandemic
   emergency, but different issues are commonly addressed simultaneously.
    Environmental battles never end, there is no inevitability of either
   winning or losing.  Persistence and determination and action and things
   that appeal to the public help win battles, sitting in the ivory tower
   and
   not speaking out don't.  Nothing ventured, nothing gained, sticking
   your
   neck out is absolutely required to make progress.  The squeaky wheel
   gets
   the grease.  I have to say that the media have been an enormous help
   for
   us, the articles on the damage we do to the reefs and oceans and
   climate
   change has been nearly endless.  The more people know that their income
   and
   health is threatened, the more outraged they are, and the more pressure
   they apply.  Part of our problem is that the threats to humans from us
   degrading the reefs is not always obvious enough.  We need to make it
   obvious and unavoidably obvious.  But I think polls have shown an
   increasing concern about climate change and support for action.  I
   sense
   the tide is shifting in our favor on this issue, and it is the biggest
   threat to the future of reefs.
        So this is a call to action.  Action gets results, inaction
   doesn't.
   When people believe that it is in their own best interests to save the
   reefs, they WILL get saved.  Not until then.
   Cheers,  Doug
   On Tue, Aug 4, 2020 at 8:23 AM Douglas Fenner
   <douglasfennertassi at gmail.com>
   wrote:
   > I believe that everyone in this discussion is making good points.
   >     I would like to add a hint of optimism.  There are aspects of
   > environmental battles that provide solid grounds for optimism, as
   well as
   > for caution and pessimism.  The grounds for optimism are that people
   don't
   > like things that threaten their health, or survival, or income, or
   > livelihoods.  A few years ago in the US lead was discovered in the
   water
   > supply in Flint, Michigan.  It was in the international news.
   Outrage
   > resulted.  I haven't kept up with the story, but I bet it is being
   fixed,
   > because if it isn't, the outrage is a threat to the political careers
   of
   > elected officials.  ]k= =-z>:"AA^%q
   >
   > On Tue, Aug 4, 2020 at 1:36 AM Steve via Coral-List <
   > coral-list at coral.aoml.noaa.gov> wrote:
   >
   >>
   >> Mike Risk's perspective on the effects of coral scientists not
   speaking
   >> with a unified voice clearly resonates with me.
   >>
   >> While the point is well taken that people have shown that they care
   way
   >> more about other things, how can we expect this dynamic to ever
   change when
   >> the messaging they receive from the "experts" in the coral science
   >> community continues to be rife with ambiguity? Policy makers respond
   to
   >> monied interests, but public opinion matters too and there is every
   >> indication that interest in environmental issues is on the rise,
   especially
   >> with the younger generation.
   >>
   >> What would happen if the messaging put out about what we need to do
   to
   >> "save coral reefs" was done with more clarity, simplicity and
   conviction?
   >>
   >> Consider the paper cited
   ([1]https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231817)
   >> on survivorship of the ongoing NRP (NOAA Recovery Plan) in the
   Florida Keys
   >> Marine Sanctuary. As I read it, the paper makes it clear that
   "reducing
   >> stressors is required before significant population growth and
   recovery
   >> will occur. Until then, outplanting protects against local
   extinction and
   >> helps maintain genetic diversity in the wild". Although this
   conclusion
   >> points to a significant role for restoration, it makes clear that
   reducing
   >> (both local and global) stressors is paramount.
   >>
   >> Why can't we make that point clear? What's so hard about selling the
   >> public on the idea that we must restore some semblance of the
   natural
   >> ecological balance? Clean up the water; promote sustainable
   fisheries and
   >> cut carbon emissions. That simple message has yet to resonate in the
   public
   >> domain. Instead, many have become convinced that the only viable
   strategy
   >> is to race to outplant supercorals designed to withstand an
   inevitable and
   >> mounting onslaught of stressors that are somehow beyond our control.
   >>
   >> I have listened to many gray-haired coral reef scientists and
   there's
   >> obviously more capitulation out there than optimism.
   >>
   >> So, does it even matter at this point if we change the messaging?
   Maybe
   >> not, but it may represent our best last chance to try.
   >>
   >> Regards,
   >>
   >> Steve Mussman
   >>
   >> Sent from EarthLink Mobile mail
   >>
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   >
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References

   1. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231817
   2. https://coral.aoml.noaa.gov/mailman/listinfo/coral-list
   3. https://coral.aoml.noaa.gov/mailman/listinfo/coral-list


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