[Coral-List] Ocean Temperatures Suddenly Over the Tipping Point?

[Austin Bowden-Kerby]

Dear everyone,

I am posting this because it is time for everyone to look up from our busy
lives and face a new reality.  It looks like we have gone over a major
tipping point, but judge for yourself.

Something happened to cause the average temperature of the ocean to
suddenly jump by about 0.7C from the 1982-2011average, and it is not El
Nino. The graph is absolutely shocking.
https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/   The graphs are updated
daily.

Unfortunately as far as the timeline to 1.5C, all of the former information
has suddenly become inaccurate. We went above the 1.5C threshold in June.
https://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centre/news/2023/copernicus-records-first-june-breach-15degc-climate-threshold

And these temperatures are now holding.

This crazy and almost unbelievable jump in temperature appears to be
related to the delayed impacts of the Tonga eruption.
https://www.carbonbrief.org/tonga-volcano-eruption-raises-imminent-risk-of-temporary-1-5c-breach/
 But the increase is much worse than what these atmospheric scientists
predicted back in January.  They say that the temporary heating effects of
the water vapor in the upper atmosphere will last for five years, but I
read elsewhere that it could be a decade.

But my Question now is this: what If the Atlantic overturning circulation
were to suddenly collapse due to this being superimposed on
anthropogenic Carbon emissions?  And how long would it take for us to even
know, and when that happens, how long will it take before the surface
waters of the ocean warm up (like we are seeing now)?
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/06/23/ocean-heatwave-northatlantic-uk-climate/


The photos of severe bleaching in Belize, posted on Facebook by Fragments
of Hope, are heartbreaking.  It started in June, and the only source of
relief will be a near-miss hurricane or tropical storm.

Have we suddenly fast-forwarded 27 years to 2050 conditions?

Austin


Austin Bowden-Kerby, PhD
Corals for Conservation
https://www.corals4conservation.org
Publication on C4C's coral-focused climate change adaptation strategies:
https://www.mdpi.com/2673-1924/4/1/2/pdf
Film on our "Reefs of Hope" coral restoration for climate change adaptation
strategies:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BG0lqKciXAA
https://www.globalgiving.org/projects/emergency-response-to-massive-coral-bleaching/
<https://www.globalgiving.org/projects/emergency-response-to-massive-coral-bleaching/>



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